RaboResearch - Economic Research

Special Dutch version

Outlook 2014

The Dutch economy will not grow in 2014. Unemployment will rise further, and the slight boost provided by the global growth spurt will not be vigorous enough for the country to overcome its domestic woes. US economic performance and the modest eurozone recovery account for more than half the global growth spurt.

Economic Quarterly Report

A slightly better outlook

The Dutch economy remained in recession in the second quarter of 2013. We expect export growth to pick up in the coming quarters. However, low domestic spending will hold economic recovery back

Economic Quarterly Report

The Netherlands: Economy caught in austerity trap

continued focus on Brussels’ 3% of GDP deficit ceiling will again prevent the Dutch economy from growing in 2014. It would be better if the cabinet accelerated structural reforms instead of carrying out additional spending cuts.

Economic Quarterly Report

The Netherlands: heading for seven lean years

The Dutch economy has failed to recover from the Great Recession of 2008/2009 over the past several years. It contracted again in 2012 due to relatively low export growth and a drop in domestic spending. We do not expect this outlook to change to any significant degree this year or next.

Special

Mind the fiscal speed limit

The current debate amongst economists regarding the timing of fiscal consolidation is not yet resolved. In this Special we present evidence that fiscal policy has a larger short-term negative impact on growth than the government currently expects.