RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Report Dutch version

The new pension contract: still work in progress

The government is currently working on a new regulatory framework for pension funds. The present rules, set out in the Financial Assessment Framework, will be revised due to the introduction of a new pension contract in 2015.

Economic Report

Outlook 2014 - United Kingdom

There are signs that UK’s economic activity is gathering momentum. But the recovery is not on a solid footing yet and, therefore, needs to be nurtured.

Economic Report

Outlook 2014 - Eurozone

The eurozone economy seems to have entered a phase of modest recovery. But, worrisome public finances, limited investment demand and tight credit conditions continue to hamper growth. Current problems are unlikely to be solved by a banking union.

Economic Report

Outlook 2014 - China: balancing reforms and growth

After an ambitious start, China’s new leadership seems to have eased back on its reform drive. Maintaining a sufficiently strong growth rate is still the priority. For 2014, this implies only incremental reforms and a growth rate of around 7¼%.

Economic Report Dutch version

Budget Day: a repetition of moves

Over the past few years the wide variety of headgear – whether making or refraining from political statements – has seemed to have a permanent hold on the headlines on Budget Day.

Economic Report

The Tequila crisis in 1994

In this report we will focus on the crisis of 1994 in Mexico, where a strong devaluation of the peso led to both a currency and banking crisis, while a sovereign crisis was just prevented.

Economic Report

The Mexican 1982 debt crisis

In August 1982, Mexico was the first of many Latin American countries to default on its sovereign debt. This report covers the main characteristics of the Mexican debt crisis as well as its main causes and triggers.

Economic Report

The Russian Crisis 1998

Russia’s fixed exchange rate regime together with its fragile fiscal position appeared to be unsustainable in the course of 1998. By then an outbreak of a severe banking, currency and sovereign debt crisis could not be prevented.

Economic Report

The Turkish 2000-01 banking crisis

Turkey experienced a severe banking crisis during 2000 and 2001. The crisis had a major impact on banking supervision and regulation, as both were extensively strengthened.

Economic Report

The Argentine Crisis 2001/2002

In the late 1990s, Argentina’s currency peg to the US dollar, pro-cyclical fiscal policies and extensive foreign borrowing left the country unable to deal with economic shocks. This led to a severe currency, sovereign debt and banking crisis.

Economic Report

Turkey: export-led growth

The past decade saw Turkey move away from the boom-bust cycles of the past. The new export industries are a good step in the right direction, but more is needed. This Special Report takes account of the past, while also considering the road ahead.

Economic Report

Turkey: long term outlook

The past decade saw Turkey break with its turbulent past. This final Special Report on Turkey’s long-term economic prospects discusses our expectations for the coming decade in all these areas.

Economic Report

Turkey: political and social situation

Located in both Europe and Asia, Turkey is often regarded as the bridge between east and west. This Special Report considers Turkey’s current social and political situation, as well as the challenges ahead.