RaboResearch - Economic Research


Will COP15 Be the ‘Paris-moment’ for Nature?

Human well-being, our economies, and the ability to reach our climate goals are heavily dependent on biodiversity. Yet, economic activities continue to cause massive damage to nature. The UN Convention on Biological Diversity’s 15th conference, COP15, presents a timely opportunity to set targets to reverse the global loss of biodiversity and ecosystems as part of the Post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework.


Italy: Public debt affordability issues loom

Italy’s new government has the thankless task to balance fiscal support amid the energy crisis and keeping public finances in check. Unless energy prices and bond yields come down significantly, debt affordability challenges could materialise soon.

Economic Report

United States: Double recession

After the technical recession in the first half of this year, the Fed’s Volcker-esque hiking cycle and the inverted yield curve point to an official recession next year. The current inversion of the yield curve indicates that the probability of the second recession is 70%.


The EU's road to net-zero mobility: Highway or traffic jam?

Within the EU Green Deal the transport sector needs to cut 90% of its emissions by 2050. This article outlines the policies that the EU is deploying to this end. The policies cover a very broad range, raising the question of whether the many stakeholders will be able to implement all the required changes.


What a right-wing coalition would bring Italy

Italian elections on September 25 are set to be won by the conservative right coalition. Importantly, Italy will continue to support sanctions against Russia and eurozone membership, but frictions with the EU and the risk of fiscal slippage will increase.