RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Report Dutch version

International house prices and policy

Here in the Netherlands we are glad that house prices now appear to be stabilizing at last, but the same picture does not apply to many other Western countries. How can this be explained? Can we do anything about it? Or is it once again the prelude to a housing bubble?

Country Report

Country Report South Africa

After a highly difficult 2013, in which domestic and global developments exposed South Africa’s vulnerabilities, ANC’s victory in May’s elections should improve policy and economic perspectives.

Country Report

Country Report Brunei

Brunei’s economy contracted by 1.8% in 2013, but growth will be positive, though muted this year. The government has started to gradually introduce a sharia penal code.

Country Report

Country Report The Bahamas

The Bahamas is a small yet rich island economy that faces challenges in the area of fiscal consolidation and generating GDP growth.

Country Report

Country Report UAE

The UAE’s economy is estimated to grow at a solid pace of 4-5% in the coming years. Meanwhile, the run up in asset prices has increased fears of a renewed speculative bubble.

Country Report

Country Report Bahrain

Economic growth in Bahrain is estimated to slow to around 3% in 2014. Government finances are strained due high social spending and large energy subsidies.

Country Report

Country Report Suriname

The Surinam economy is growing robustly, and growth is estimated at around 4% in 2014 and 2015. President Bouterse remains the favourite for the 2015 presidential elections, despite tensions within his coalition.

Country Report

Country Report Argentina

The devaluation of the peso in January is likely to spur already high inflation in Argentina to over 30% and economic growth is expected to contract slightly in 2014. A new economic team has improved monetary policy.

Economic Comment

Nederlands economisch herstel hard onderbroken (Dutch)

Het Nederlandse BBP-volume is in het eerste kwartaal van 2014 met 1,4% gekrompen ten opzichte van het kwartaal ervoor. Wij verwachten dat dit een eenmalige terugval is geweest en voorzien voor de rest van het jaar economische groei.

Economic Comment

Eurozone: kwartaal van grote verschillen (Dutch)

Het licht teleurstellende BBP-cijfer voor de eurozone in het eerste kwartaal van het jaar (+0,2% k-o-k) herbergt grote onderlinge verschillen tussen de lidstaten. De cijfers lijken in sterke mate gekleurd door de impact van het milde weer.

Economic Report

Vraagtekens bij impact van Asset Quality Review (Dutch)

Als onderdeel van de Europese bankenunie voert de ECB momenteel een Asset Quality Review uit. Dit kan bijdragen aan de opschoning van de bankensector, maar er bestaat nog veel onduidelijkheid over de oplossing in geval van kapitaaltekorten.