RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Comment

China: weak start of the Year of the Pig

The first months of 2019 show a mixed, but weak picture as far as economic activity is concerned. The National People’s Congress of 2019 focused on emphasizing stability, but this was combined with contradictory goals.

Economic Comment

Japan: Economic recovery on the cards?

We expect the Japanese economy to recover moderately in the fourth quarter of 2018, and this will continue in the first quarter of 2019, but we do not foresee any surprises from the central bank in terms of policy changes. Inflation has not picked up yet, and risks remain tilted to the downside.

Economic Comment

China en de Verenigde Staten stellen handelsoorlog vooralsnog uit (Dutch)

Handelsspanningen tussen de VS en China lijken kleiner te worden na de recente onderhandelingen, maar fundamentele verschillen blijven bestaan, bijvoorbeeld op het terrein van bescherming van intellectueel eigendom en ‘Made in China 2025’. Verder is het niet ondenkbaar dat de handelspuzzel inmiddels ook geopolitieke stukjes bevat.

Economic Comment

Stellingen over de Nederlandse economie (Dutch)

In een serie publicaties bespreken we aan de hand van stellingen een aantal veelgehoorde misverstanden of terechte vaststellingen over de Nederlandse economie en belichten we bijzondere kenmerken en ontwikkelingen.

Economic Comment

Budget Day 2015: tax reform was not invited to budget party

On September 15th the Dutch government presented its plans for 2016 at Budget Day. The most important budget proposal was a five billion euro tax reduction package, mainly aimed at reducing taxes on labour. However, the tax system will not be reformed, what we view as a missed opportunity.