RaboResearch - Economic Research

Country Report

Country report Indonesia

The reform process in Indonesia is not expected to speed up markedly under the new government, but growth is expected to accelerate somewhat. Indonesia remains vulnerable to deteriorating financial markets sentiment.

Country Report

Country Report Bangladesh

The political environment in Bangladesh has calmed in recent months and the AL government is likely to sit out its term in office. Growth is strengthening, albeit only very slightly, and the current account surplus will narrow further.

Country Report

Country Report Maldives

On the back of a recovery of the tourism sector, GDP growth is picking up. Political stability has returned in the short-term following the victory of President Yameen and his PPM party in the 2013 presidential and March 2014 parliamentary elections.

Presentation

Rusland: weet wat er speelt (Dutch)

De EU heeft strengere sancties ingesteld tegen Rusland. In deze presentatie vindt u een beknopt overzicht van de achtergronden, de ontwikkelingen tot nu toe, verwachtingen en potentiële gevolgen voor Nederland. De presentatie wordt regelmatig bijgewerkt.

Country Report

Country Report Sri Lanka

On the economic front, Sri Lanka is performing relatively well. Growth is holding up strongly and the balance of payments is improving. The increasingly authoritarian style of the Rajapaksa government is, however, less positive news.

Country Report

Country Report India

The recent massive election win of Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party and expectations of business friendly reforms are boosting sentiment and growth. However, India will not change overnight.

Country Report

Country Report Uzbekistan

Real GDP growth in Uzbekistan is likely to weaken somewhat in the coming years, but remain sound on the back of high (public) investment growth. Would president Karimov decide to run for another term, political uncertainty will be eased, but only temporarily.

Economic Comment

Wereldeconomisch commentaar: een betere tweede helft? (Dutch)

Nadat het eerste kwartaal van dit jaar in economisch opzicht voor veel landen tegenviel, wordt de hoop gevestigd op een betere tweede helft. Per saldo verwachten we dat de hoop werkelijkheid wordt. Echter niet alle landen laten hetzelfde beeld zien.

Economic Quarterly Report

Herstel Nederlandse economie zet voorzichtig door (Dutch)

Ondanks een terugval in het eerste kwartaal van dit jaar zal het Nederlandse BBP-volume in 2014 groeien met naar verwachting ½%. Het herstel van de Nederlandse economie heeft plaats tegen de achtergrond van een zwak groeiende mondiale economie.

Country Report

Country Report Indonesia

The policy focus in Indonesia is on macroeconomic stabilisation, while protectionist policies have been implemented in the past months. Growth is expected to slow to 5.4% in 2014. No major new structural reforms are expected from the next government.

Country Report

Country Report Thailand

After the May 22 coup, Thailand is under military control. The risk of large and violent protests remains present. The democracy is unlikely to be restored in the short-term. Whilst in control, the military aims to restore economic growth.

Country Report

Country Report Brunei

Brunei’s economy contracted by 1.8% in 2013, but growth will be positive, though muted this year. The government has started to gradually introduce a sharia penal code.