RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Quarterly Report

Eurozone: waar is de vraag gebleven? (Dutch)

We verwachten dat de economie in de eurozone in 2019 met 1,3 procent groeit en in 2020 met 1,5 procent. De groei zal worden gedreven door de binnenlandse bestedingen. De belangrijkste risico’s blijven de Brexit en een verdere escalatie van de handelsspanningen tussen de VS en de EU.

Economic Quarterly Report

Beren op de weg, maar eurozone blijft op stoom in 2017 (Dutch)

De economie van de eurozone blijft op stoom in 2017 en 2018. Er heerst in 2017 nog onzekerheid door een volle politieke agenda. Er zijn ook opwaartse risico’s: groei kan positief verassen en lonen kunnen harder groeien dan verwacht.

Country Report

Belgium: recovery at a snail's pace

The centre-right government has successfully implemented several policy measures to improve Belgian price competitiveness. High public debt, inflation and security issues are the most prominent downward risks for a stable economic recovery.

Country Report

Country Report Belgium

The new centre-right government plans to target the budget deficit and Belgian firms’ competitiveness. Thanks to various measures implemented by the former and current government, the increase in unit labour costs came to halt in 2014.

Economic Quarterly Report

Eurozone Uitgelicht (Dutch)

In het hoofdstuk 'Eurozone: een door consumptie gedreven herstel' beschrijven we het economische beeld voor de eurozone als geheel. Dit is de resultante van onze economische analyse van de ontwikkelingen in de grotere eurolanden. In onderstaande teksten lichten we deze analyses separaat toe.

Country Report

Country Report Belgium

Despite the recovery of the economy, it has lost competitiveness due to higher labour cost and lower productivity growth than European countries. The government deficit decreased below 3% of GDP but the government debt level remains high.

Country Report

Country Report Belgium

Weaker growth prospects and political hurdles challenge the government’s commitment to fiscal austerity and the implementation of unpopular, yet necessary, reforms. That said, the country’s underlying economic fundamentals remain strong.

Country Report

Belgium (Country report)

The new government has immediately announced a credible austerity package. Although political instability is not off the table for the coming years, the financial position of the private sector and the institutional power are strong.

Country Report

Belgium (Country report)

The ongoing political stalemate poses a threat to the necessary structural adjustments of the government budget. We don’t expect a satisfying level of budgetary adjustments in the short term and are unsure about the resulting sentiment in financial markets.