RaboResearch - Economic Research

Special

Should the ECB consider issuing its own securities?

The ECB could use Central Bank Securities to mop up liquidity. The use of this instrument may bring the additional advantage of the creation of a EMU-wide ‘safe asset’. This may bring advantages for the stability of the Eurozone.

Special

Nowcasting the Indian economy

In this Special we present our new nowcasting methodology for the Indian economy. Our combined model predicts an economic growth for calendar 2018Q4 of 6.3%, which would imply a significant slowdown of economic activity after the already disappointing GDP print of 7.1% in Q3.

Special

The US recession of 2020

The recent flattening of US treasury yield curve has activated our early warning system. Our model now gives a 69% chance of a recession by May 2020 and is increasingly pointing at 2020 as the year of the next recession.

Special

Re-assessing the US-China trade war

This Special re-assesses the economic impact of the US-China trade war, using more advanced methodologies. Our analysis shows that China disproportionately bears the brunt of a US-China trade war, especially in case of a further escalation.

Special

The crisis and recovery of Spain’s labour market

During the crisis, unemployment in Spain increased rapidly. In the past years, employment has substantially recovered due to strong economic growth and labour market reforms. That said, the unemployment rate is still high and significant challenges remain.

Special

Cybercrimi’s & cryptoknaken (Dutch)

De opkomst van cryptovaluta heeft zowel bijgedragen aan innovatie als aan de opkomst van bepaalde vormen van cybercriminaliteit. De reden daarvan is dat crypto’s de anonimiteit van cash combineren met de voordelen van digitale betalingen.