RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Report Dutch version

Budget Day: a repetition of moves

Over the past few years the wide variety of headgear – whether making or refraining from political statements – has seemed to have a permanent hold on the headlines on Budget Day.

Economic Report

The Tequila crisis in 1994

In this report we will focus on the crisis of 1994 in Mexico, where a strong devaluation of the peso led to both a currency and banking crisis, while a sovereign crisis was just prevented.

Economic Report

The Mexican 1982 debt crisis

In August 1982, Mexico was the first of many Latin American countries to default on its sovereign debt. This report covers the main characteristics of the Mexican debt crisis as well as its main causes and triggers.

Country Report

Country Report Oman

Small-scale social unrest remains present in Oman and the increase in current government spending is a concern. Succession risks remain, as long as Sultan Said al Said fails to appoint a successor.

Country Report

Country Report Curacao

Curacao is currently facing difficult times, both politically and economically. While economic growth was again disappointing in 2012, Curacao’s political year was characterized with four different prime-ministers and the killing of a politician.

Economic Report

Bedrijfsleven: exportgedreven herstel (Dutch)

Het exportafhankelijke bedrijfsleven gaat volgend jaar profiteren van de aantrekkende economische groei bij onze belangrijkste handelspartners. De bedrijven die op de binnenlandse markt zijn gericht houden het in 2014 relatief moeilijk.

Economic Report

CPB schetst onzekere economische vooruitzichten (Dutch)

In de Macro Economische Verkenning schetst het Centraal Planbureau het economische beeld voor het volgende jaar. De Nederlandse economie groeit volgend jaar weer voorzichtig, maar de onzekerheid rond deze verwachting is groot.

Economic Report

The Russian Crisis 1998

Russia’s fixed exchange rate regime together with its fragile fiscal position appeared to be unsustainable in the course of 1998. By then an outbreak of a severe banking, currency and sovereign debt crisis could not be prevented.

Country Report

Country Report India

The market anticipation of Fed QE tapering has sent the Indian rupee to record lows. However, India is not a blameless victim. It struggles with fundamental issues constraining economic growth, large twin deficits and a declining investor confidence on the back of inadequate economic reforms.

Country Report

Country Report Ghana

Ghana sees robust economic growth on the back of the nascent oil sector, but the lack of fiscal discipline raises concerns about future debt sustainability and increasing vulnerabilities.

Country Report

Country Report South Korea

Supported by government measures, real GDP growth in South Korea has been accelerating. Meanwhile, tensions with North Korea have eased, for now. South Korea’s banking sector remains vulnerable to external liquidity risks and rising household debt.

Country Report

Country Report Kenya

Peaceful elections in 2013 restored confidence in Kenya’s political stability to some extent and bode well for economic development, while the large twin deficits remain a matter of concern.

Country Report

Country Report Turkey

Turkey’s large current account deficit and its small stock of foreign reserves make it vulnerable to the effects of tapering by the US Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, there have also been several important political developments.