RaboResearch - Economic Research

Country Report

Australia: an economy in transition

The Australian economy remains resilient. After the mining investment boom, the economy is now primarily driven by net exports and consumption. Meanwhile, the housing market softened due to tightened lending standards to housing investors.

Country Report

Indonesia: Widodo is turning the tide

Economic growth in Indonesia slowed down in 2015 to a post Global Financial Crisis low, mainly due to weak external demand. We expect a gradual economic recovery in 2016, driven by rising infrastructure investments due to a more decisive government.

Country Report

Malaysia: corruption scandal is haunting the prime minister

Growth in Malaysia slowed down as a result of lower commodity prices. The involvement of PM Najib in a large corruption scandal is hurting his position and international investors’ confidence. This has resulted in increased external pressure on the economy and the balance of payments.

Country Report

Mexico: growth holds up well despite austerity

Growth is holding up well despite the fallout from low oil prices and the resulting fiscal austerity, which strongly and negatively affects public investment but at the same time supports the credibility of the government’s economic policies.

Economic Comment

De wereld drijft in olie (Dutch)

Overschot aan olie houdt prijzen laag in 2016. Dat is per saldo een plus voor de wereldeconomie, maar vormt wel een risico voor inflatieverwachtingen. Bovendien verslechteren de economische omstandigheden in olie exporterende landen.

Country Report

Singapore: slowing growth, but still top notch

Singapore’s economy faces multiple headwinds. But, strong institutions and effective policymaking support (potential) growth. Owing to the landslide victory of PAP in the September’s national elections strong policy continuity is preserved.