RaboResearch - Economic Research

Special Dutch version

IN2030: Four future scenarios for businesses

Nobody knows the future. Yet to gain some understanding of the future, we have developed four possible scenarios of how the would could look in twenty years. Our projections revolve around two variables: conflict versus harmony and evolution versus revolution. The interaction of these two variables has resulted in four scenarios, each of which sketches a possible state of the world in 2030.

Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version

Weak economic recovery in 2011 not entirely unexpected

During the past year we witnessed a lacklustre economic recovery. And the outlook for 2011 does not look much better. This may be disappointing, yet considering the severity of the recession, it is not altogether surprising. In the United States, as well as in a number of European countries, consumers were living beyond their means for years.

Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version

The Netherlands: becoming accustomed to a lower growth path

The Dutch economy has benefited in 2010 from export growth and from the government stimulus memasures. For the time being, consumers remain cautious, while on the investment front, activity is limited. For the coming years, real GDP growth - which is expected to average 1½% - will be lower than in 2010. Factors to blame include the levelling off of world trade growth and the austerity measures implemented by the government.

Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version

Outlook 2011

Extremely disappointing, yet not unexpected. This is how our economists describe the continuation of this year’s sluggish economic recovery in the year ahead in our Outlook 2011. We are still climbing out of the deepest recession since the 1930s. While the world economic activity picked up somewhat last year, the recovery is far from robust and the prospect of fully returning to global prosperity is still a long way off.

Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version

Global economic challenges in 2011 and beyond

The recent global economic slowdown has made clear once again that the battered Western consumers, especially in the US and the UK, are no longer able to thrust the global economy forward while they are busy repairing their balance sheets.


IN2030: Grenzen aan wat de aarde biedt (Dutch)

De toename van de wereldbevolking en de welvaart in de komende twee decennia heeft grote gevolgen voor de voedselconsumptie en de voedselproductie. Hoewel het productiepotentieel technisch gezien voldoende is om de wereldbevolking de komende twintig jaar te voeden, is het onwaarschijnlijk dat er over twee decennia sprake is van voedselzekerheid.


IN2030: Grondstoffenschaarste (Dutch)

Wereldwijd wordt een toenemende schaarste aan fossiele grondstoffen ervaren. Een van de redenen is dat de toekomstige beschikbaarheid van deze materialen niet vanzelfsprekend is. De voorraad fossiele grondstoffen is namelijk afhankelijk van de fysieke aanwezigheid in de aarde. Maar het gebruik van fossiele brandstoffen gaat veel sneller dan de vorming ervan in de aarde en de winning en raffinage van zeldzame aardmetalen gaat met hoge kosten gepaard.