RaboResearch - Economic Research

Economic Comment

Brexit Monitor: The only certainty is uncertainty for the start of 2019

We have a deal, but are also closer than ever to a ‘hard Brexit’. The EU and the UK reached an agreement on the divorce conditions on 14 November. Now both the EU and the UK have to ratify the deal before 29 March 2019 to realise an orderly Brexit and start the transition period.

Economic Comment

Brexit Update: To vote or not to vote?

Prime Minister May decided to cancel the ‘meaningful vote’ of the British Parliament on the deal with the EU scheduled for 11 December. Instead she will attempt to get more concessions from the EU during the summit on 13-14 December. Getting the deal through the British Parliament remains a challenge.

Economic Comment

Brexit Update: The finals

The United Kingdom and the EU have reached a deal in the Brexit negotiations. Unfortunately the road to an orderly Brexit remains a bumpy one and getting the deal approved by the UK Parliament is the main challenge.

Economic Comment

Brexit update: entering overtime

The UK brought the Brexit talks with the EU to a stand-still on 14 October. EU’s original deadline for a signed deal has been missed. We now estimate the chances of a ‘hard Brexit’ as almost as high as those of a deal.

Economic Comment

Brexit update: no news is good news … and some hopeful signs

Prime Minister May of the United Kingdom survived the annual conference of the Conservative Party and that strengthens her position. The next milestone is the October EU summit and negotiations are intensifying ahead of it.

Economic Comment

De-dramatising Salzburg

The Brexit summit of EU leaders in Salzburg on 19-20 September ended up in a drama. That is not justified but it suggests the EU and the UK lack a good understanding of each other and that raises the odds of a ‘Hard Brexit’ by accident.

Economic Comment

Brexit Monitor: May opts for delay with D-day only 9 months away

The choice of the British population to leave the EU will have significant consequences for trade between the EU and the UK and will affect many companies. Our Brexit Monitor helps you track the latest Brexit Developments and anticipate on further progress.

Economic Comment

Brexit Monitor: customs fudge and economic blues

The choice of the UK to leave the EU will have significant consequences for trade between the EU and the UK and will affect many companies. Our Brexit Monitor tracks the latest Brexit developments and anticipates on further progress.