Economic Comment
Eurozone: A gradual slowdown, mounting challenges
GDP of the Eurozone grew with 0.2% in the 4th quarter. France and Spain performed better than expected, but Italy entered a recession with two quarters of negative growth rates.
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Economic Report
Sectorprognoses 2019 en 2020: krapte op de arbeidsmarkt kan groei sectoren remmen (Dutch)
De krapte op de arbeidsmarkt kan de groei in de Nederlandse sectoren afremmen. Toch verwachten we dat de meeste sectoren in 2019 en 2020 blijven groeien met de bouw aan kop.
Economic Comment
Japan: Economic recovery on the cards?
We expect the Japanese economy to recover moderately in the fourth quarter of 2018, and this will continue in the first quarter of 2019, but we do not foresee any surprises from the central bank in terms of policy changes. Inflation has not picked up yet, and risks remain tilted to the downside.
Economic Report Dutch version
China: Cooling economy induces policymakers to fire up the stimulus engine (again)
Chinese economic growth continued its decline in the fourth quarter of 2018, bringing the annual growth figure for 2018 to 6.6%. This fits within our view of a gradual economic slowdown, but domestic and external risks are significantly on the rise.
Economic Report
India: 2019 Economic Outlook
In 2019, we expect the Indian economy to continue to be the global outperformer in terms of economic growth. There are however substantial downside risks, such as a defeat of Modi’s BJP in the general election and an escalation of the US-China trade war.
Economic Report
Veel van de kosten van het klimaatakkoord zullen ook over drie maanden niet duidelijk zijn (Dutch)
Het CPB rekent het Klimaatakkoord door. Dit is geen gemakkelijke taak. Weinig kosten worden begroot, terwijl er voor sommige partijen ‘verborgen’ kosten zijn. Het kabinet zal het Klimaatakkoord moeten aanvullen met eigen beleid.
Economic Report
Eurozone: Revisiting growth
The disappointing recovery of the German car sector, the yellow vests in France and slowing external demand lead to a downward revision of our growth figures for 2018Q4 and 2019Q1.
Economic Comment
Brexit Update: It's the turn of the UK Parliament now
The United Kingdom Parliament finally gets their turn on Brexit. In the evening of 15 January the MP’s will vote on the EU-UK deal and we expect that they will reject the current deal. That will push the UK into several weeks of political turbulence.