Special
Coronavirus: Outbreak of uncertainty
We outline four scenarios in which the coronavirus outbreak becomes increasingly severe and discuss the implications for China and the world economy.
RaboResearch - Economic Research
6 Publications
Economic Report
Trumponomics: Trans-Pacific Partnership is the first trade victim
In this piece, we analyze which region loses most because of the TPP withdrawal by Trump. The US withdrawal has given China, which was excluded from TPP, opportunities to fill a void and to further expand its influence in Asia.
Economic Report
Asia-Pacific: many risks but no new Asian crisis in the making
A balance of payments crisis is unlikely in today’s Asia. Most countries have improved their current accounts and FX reserves. The rising debt load may however pose problems, although it nowadays is mainly local currency denominated.
Economic Report
Asia-Pacific: the rise of China in a (geo)politically diverse continent
Strong economic growth has diminished poverty in the region and will swell the ranks of the middle class. But corruption levels are high, China’s influence in the region is increasing and the dispute surrounding the South China Sea may generate stability risks.
Economic Report
Asia-Pacific: agricultural perspectives
Asia Pacific is a decisive component in the global food chain. Asia’s large and growing population and rising incomes will continue to drive demand for food, agricultural commodities and resources. But Asia cannot produce enough to support itself.
Economic Report
Asia-Pacific: can Asia’s convergence story continue?
Demographics will provide headwinds in the developed countries of APAC and China, and tailwinds in South Asia. While total factor productivity growth has fallen, the innovation outlook for the APAC region is still relatively favourable.
