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Recent developments in Greece

Economic Comment

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In the past months, the tensions between Greece and its creditors have grown and so has the risk of a Greek exit from the eurozone. It is only recently that the Greek government seems willing to give in to the tough demands of Europe in return for financial support. Yet it is far from clear when the crisis will be defused and what exactly this will entail.

Please find below some studies on the relevant developments in Greece.

From Grexit to Agree(k)ment - 13 July 2015
On 12 July, European leaders reached agreement as a basis to start negotiations on a third support package for Greece. This is under the condition that the Greek parliament accepts the proposal ultimately on Wednesday, after which parliaments in several other member countries have to give their mandate for starting the actual negotiations about the support package.  

Pre-referendum Greece: a road map for the months ahead - 3 July 2015
The referendum this Sunday will not end uncertainty over Greek saga, also not in case of the most favourable outcome. As such it is unthinkable that Greek banks are reopened on Tuesday. We provide three scenario’s on what to expect in the next months.

Greek state of play - 29 June 2015
After the negotiations between Greece and the institutions were discontinued on Saturday, all eyes are on Greece. With no exposure of Eurozone banks and new mechanisms in place at the European aimed to prevent contagion we do not foresee major contagion events in the event of a Greek default. 

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Author(s)
Maartje Wijffelaars
RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets Rabobank KEO
+31 6 2257 0569
Allard Bruinshoofd
Rabobank KEO
+31 30 21 62666
Hugo Erken
RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets Rabobank KEO
+31 6 2223 1650
Elwin de Groot
RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets Rabobank KEO
+31 6 1389 2916
Jurriaan Kalf
RaboResearch Netherlands Rabobank KEO
+31 88 726 7864
Herwin Loman
Rabobank KEO
+31 30 21 62666
Carlijn Prins
RaboResearch Netherlands Rabobank KEO
+31 6 1929 6455
Marcel Weernink
Rabobank KEO
+31 30 21 62666

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