RaboResearch - Economic Research

15 December 2016

The British referendum on membership of the European Union has also rekindled the debate in The Netherlands about EU membership, and hence the questions about the EU and the advantages and disadvantages of the Dutch membership.

Our economy is deeply intertwined with that of the EU. Whether it performs poorly or well, Europe affects us all. Entrepreneurs first, especially those operating internationally, but ultimately also the citizens. Therefore, in the run-up to the elections, Rabobank plans to regularly feed the debate on Europe with facts and analyses. Until then, you can find our new publications here.

Italy: All bets are off – December 5, 2016
4 December, Italy rejected a reform that would have improved the governability the country. Renzi has resigned, but the initial market impact has been fairly muted. Paradoxically, the chance of a referendum on Eurozone membership has reduced.

Is The Netherlands nex(i)t? – December 2, 2016
All eyes are on the Netherlands next March during the parliamentary elections. Could it be the next country to experience a populist upheaval? And could the election results even lead to a ‘Nexit’?

The voice of Italy – November 30, 2016
Sunday 4 December, Italians will vote on a constitutional reform that should support policymaking in Italy. Yet the reform is not without downsides. The suggestion that a “No”-vote would put Italy on a path towards leaving the Eurozone is wrong.

The Dutch agriculture and horticulture industry has a strong interest in the EU - November 14, 2016
In this publication we focus on the impact of The Netherlands leaving the EU (Nexit) on the Dutch agriculture and horticulture industry. Question at the end: will the Dutch agriculture and horticulture industry remain to receive the more than EUR 800 million income support in case of a Nexit?

EU exit contagion risk – November 4, 2016
In this Special we focus on political exit contagion risk of ‘Brexit’ to other EU countries. We look at the current political landscape in the EU and the rising trend of Euroscepticism.