RaboResearch - Economic Research

Stefan Koopman

Senior Market Economist

Stefan is a Market Economist at RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets

He is responsible for the analysis of financial markets and communicating the team’s rates and FX forecasts to the Dutch client base. His focus area is Brexit and the Bank of England, but he writes, comments and gives client presentations on virtually everything that is moving markets.

Stefan studied business economics and holds an M.Sc. in Finance from University of Amsterdam.

Publications Stefan Koopman


Opgekochte staatsschuld is niet meer relevant (Dutch)

Hoe moeten de gevolgen van de coronarecessie en de genereuze staatssteun worden verwerkt? Moeten de Europese lidstaten weer bezuinigen en streven naar een publieke schuldquote van maximaal 60 procent van het bruto binnenlands product (bbp)?


German elections: Green means 'Go'

The Social Democrats are in pole position to lead Germany’s next coalition government, but protracted negotiations seem likely. A best guess is that Scholz will eventually lead a ‘Traffic light’ coalition of the SPD, the Greens and the FDP. There are, however, considerable divides to bridge and it could potentially take months before the successor to Merkel is finally decided.



US and European natural gas prices have jumped to multi-year highs; to the extent that comparisons with the 1970’s oil crises are perhaps not as far-fetched as some would think.

Economic Quarterly Report

Blik op de wereld: welkom in de mismatch-economie (Dutch)

Mismatch tussen vraag en aanbod bepalen het economisch beeld; stijgende inflatie is daar een uitvloeisel van. Dat is een uitdaging voor centrale banken, maar renteverhogingen zijn ons inziens nog niet aan de orde. Want ook de risico’s op een groeivertraging zijn toegenomen.

Economic Report

Eurozone economy resumes recovery in second quarter of 2021

The reopening of euro area economies has spurred economic activity. Eurozone GDP grew with 2% q/q in 2021Q2. The recovery should be sustained in the coming quarters. The Delta variant is mainly a risk for the outlook of tourism dependent economies.


Germany: better times ahead?

The German economy will recover quickly, driven by foreign- and pent-up demand. Its traditional unease with soaring prices will be tested. The September election is going to be crucial: Germany faces some tough decisions.


Scotland: A proxy vote for independence?

The Scottish regional election is potentially shaping up to have a big impact on the future of the UK. Scottish independence has returned to the top of the agenda and the SNP will argue to have a fresh mandate. The economic argument for Scottish independence is weak, but the Conservatives aren’t in the position to credibly make this case.

Economic Report

Eurozone: a second recession, but with a silver lining

In the first quarter, the Eurozone economy contracted with 0.6%. Germany the performed worst among the large Member States (-1.7%). We project the recovery to resume in the current quarter and the EU recovery fund to lift GDP by 0.5% over 2021 and 2022.