RaboResearch - Economic Research

Raphie Hayat

Senior Economist

Raphie joined RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets in 2014, where he follows China, Japan and a number of other countries in the Asia-Pacific region.

Raphie analyses these economies from a macro-economic perspective. This includes (amongst others) writing about relevant developments for the countries in this region and their macro-economic implications. Previously at Rabobank, Raphie covered Africa, the Middle East and Southeast Asia, and was as a portfolio manager. His work experience before Rabobank includes KPMG Corporate Finance and UBS.

Raphie holds Master’s degrees in Economics and Finance, a PhD in Economics (VU University Amsterdam), is a Certified Financial Risk Manager (FRM) and a CFA charterholder.

Publications Raphie Hayat

Economic Comment

Japan: A deep recession

We expect Japan to fall in a deep recession this year with the economy shrinking by 5%. This is due to looming lockdowns in, amongst others, Tokyo and Osaka and because Japan’s exports will sink as global demand dries up.

Special

Global Economic Contraction: Re-assessing the impact of COVID-19

We have revised our economic forecasts and expect the global economy to contract by 2.6% in 2020. How quickly the economy recovers after the coronavirus crisis depends on how fast people get back to work and whether productivity growth is permanently damaged.

Column

Coronavirus: The Economic Impact of COVID-19 on India

We have estimated the impact of COVID-19 on India’s economy, which in our base case is relatively benign due to India’s limited ties with China. However, if there the virus spreads further within India growth will go down sharply.

Special

Coronavirus: Outbreak of uncertainty

We outline four scenarios in which the coronavirus outbreak becomes increasingly severe and discuss the implications for China and the world economy.

Special

Economic implications of the coronavirus

The recent coronavirus outbreak will likely affect China’s economic growth, and could also have global ramifications. which will likely be more severe than compared to the SARS outbreak 17 years ago because China has become much bigger and more intertwined globally.

Video

Video - India: Economic Outlook 2020

Rabobank economists Raphie Hayat and Hugo Erken discuss their economic outlook for India in 2020. Elements that are elaborated on are the economic growth forecasts, structural issues in the economy, fiscal and monetary policy options and the forecasts for the Indian rupee.