RaboResearch - Economic Research

Jurriaan Kalf

Economist

Jurriaan Kalf is economist and liaison officer for several business units.

He is currently responsible for picking up signals from corporate clients and translating these signals to themes to focus our economic research. Before this role, Jurriaan was economist and country risk analyst for the North America, the Middle-East and Asia.

Jurriaan studied financial economics at Utrecht University and interned at the Dutch central bank before being trained as policy economist at the Dutch government

Publications Jurriaan Kalf

Country Report

Country report United Kingdom

The UK economy has seen more balanced growth lately: wage growth has returned, debt levels are gradually falling and the housing market has cooled down. However, a low Euro weighs on export performance while the risk of a Brexit has increased.

Economic Comment

Eurozone eindelijk aan de bal (Dutch)

Terwijl de groei en export in de eurozone aantrekt, is er in het VK en de VS sprake van een afzwakking van de groei en export. Mogelijk is dit verschil te wijten aan de kwantitatieve verruiming van de ECB al spelen er ook andere factoren.

Economic Report Dutch version

Regional outlook Europe

This regional study on Europe focuses on the economic outlook and risks for the entire region, but also on the differences between countries within the area. The purpose of the study is to both benchmark European countries on economic developments and fundamentals and to create a comprehensive view on where Europe’s economies are heading.

Economic Report Dutch version

Politics - European trends, national consequences

European countries face a number of internal destabilising political trends while externally they continue to face threats, particularly from Russia. Meanwhile, TTIP and the Juncker administration may add some geopolitical clout to the EU.

Column

Het Spaanse ochtendgloren (Dutch)

Een werkloosheid van 23%, een begrotingstekort boven de 3%-norm van de Europese Commissie en een ingestorte huizenmarkt. Dit beeld van Spanje is in rap tempo aan het kantelen door hervormingen, maar deze hervormingen hebben wel pijn gedaan.

Country Report

Country report Portugal

The Portuguese economy returned to growth in 2014 but medium term prospects remain weak. Meanwhile, with an election this year, the reform effort while this year’s budget is based on overly optimistic assumptions.

Country Report

Country Report Spain

The Spanish economy is expected to maintain its competitiveness while domestic demand strengthens. The low quality of employment created may hurt productivity growth. We expect to see political fragmentation at the national level.

Country Report

Country report Ireland

The strong rebound of the Irish economy supported private sector deleveraging while the housing prices rebounded strongly. With the budget deficit down and political stability enduring, the situation in Ireland is set to improve further.