RaboResearch - Economic Research

Hugo Erken

Head of Netherlands Economics

Hugo Erken oversees a team of economists that is responsible for analysing and forecasting the Dutch economy.

The team has a broad coverage on specific topics, such as the Dutch housing market, the labor market, savings and pensions, entrepreneurship, productivity and the impact of government policy. Our knowledge ultimately aims to assist clients and other stakeholders in preparing for the future. Hugo’s focus areas are the labor market, international trade and productivity.

Hugo has more than 20 years of experience in economic research and joined RaboResearch in 2015. Before Rabobank, he worked for the Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs, the Dutch Ministry of Social Affairs and Employment, and the CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. Hugo graduated in International Economics at the Radboud University Nijmegen and wrote his PhD dissertation on Productivity, R&D and Entrepreneurship at the Erasmus University Rotterdam.

Publications Hugo Erken

Economic Update Dutch version

Germany: higher growth, but the risks are increasing

We expect the German economy to grow by 1¾% in 2015 and 2% in 2016. However, an escalation of the refugee problem, spread of the emissions scandal at Volkswagen to other car manufacturers and more negative news on the performance of the Chinese economy could affect the solid base of the German economy.

Economic Update Dutch version

Belgium: steady if unspectacular growth

We expect to see the Belgian economy grow by 1¼% in 2015 and 1½% in 2016. In 2015, growth is mainly driven by an increase in private consumption, while net exports will also contribute positively in 2016.

Column

Mismatch slechts beperkt probleem op arbeidsmarkt (Dutch)

In het publieke debat beweren velen dat de mismatch op de Nederlandse arbeidsmarkt groot is en daarmee ook een belangrijk deel van de hoge werkloosheid kan verklaren. Volgens ons is dit een hardnekkig misvatting dat tot verkeerde beleidsmaatregelen kan leiden.

Special

Why growth keeps disappointing

In this Special we show that the Euro Area faces considerable challenges for the mid-term. Structural problems on the labour market, sluggish labour productivity caused by declining firm dynamics and an unfavourable interest environment are causes of concern.

Economic Quarterly Report

Economische kerngegevens (Dutch)

De meest recente economische voorspellingen voor de Nederlandse en internationale economie en de financiële markten.