RaboResearch - Economic Research

Erik-Jan van Harn

Macro strategist Global Economics & Markets

Erik-Jan does research on the international economy and financial markets. He holds a degree in mathematics and quantitative finance.

Publications Erik-Jan van Harn

Economic Update

France: Slow but steady economic growth

The French economy is growing slow and steady supported by a growth in domestic demand. The current protests affect consumer confidence but are unlikely to dent economic growth. For 2020 we expect a GDP growth of 1.1%.

Economic Comment

The transatlantic trade war: Plenty of topics to be upset about

Now that the phase one trade deal between the US and China has been signed, the US will shift its focus to the EU. US frustrations related to EU trade policy have been mounting recently. In addition, little progress has been made on US requests related to defense spending and the EU’s China policy.

Economic Quarterly Report

De twee gezichten van de eurozone (Dutch)

We verwachten dat de economie in de eurozone in 2020 met 1,0 procent en in 2021 met 0,8 procent groeit. De binnenlandse bestedingen stuwen de groei op, terwijl een lagere groei van de buitenlandse vraag de groei drukt.

Column

Maakt Trump zijn eigen wagenpark duurder? (Dutch)

Zolang de inkt van een fase 1 deal tussen de VS en China niet droog is, zal Trump de invoertarieven op Europese auto’s niet verhogen. Maar de dreiging blijft voorlopig bestaan. Europa en met name Duitsland houdt gespannen de adem in.

Video

De impact van Trump op Europese autotarieven (Dutch)

Hoe waarschijnlijk is het dat de Amerikaanse president Trump de invoertarieven op Europese auto’s zal verhogen en wat zal daarvan de economische impact zijn? Maartje Wijffelaars en Erik-Jan van Harn daarover in deze video.

Special

Very dangerous European cars part II

Soon, President Trump will announce what to do with tariffs on EU cars. We think he will not hike tariffs just yet, but will keep the tariff threat alive. Within the EU, the German and Hungarian economy are most vulnerable to higher car tariffs in the US.