RaboResearch - Economic Research

Erik-Jan van Harn

Economist

Erik-Jan works as an economist at RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets.

He analyses economic developments in the Eurozone with a focus on Germany, France and the United Kingdom.

Erik-Jan studied Applied Mathematics at the University of Utrecht and Quantitative Finance & Actuarial Sciences at Tilburg University.

Publications Erik-Jan van Harn

Special

Eurozone: Closing the gap through fiscal transfers?

Economic convergence is a prerequisite for a stable Eurozone in the long run, but this may be hard to achieve. In the short term it might be more rewarding to investigate the possibilities of narrowing the gap in competitiveness.

Special

European geopolitics: A more assertive EU?

So far the EU has often taken a backseat in international matters, but the EU is waking up to a new geopolitical reality. Has the EU become more assertive? And what role does Germany, as the natural leader of the bloc, play?

Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version

Eurozone: K-shape recovery

We forecast that eurozone GDP will contract by 8.9% in 2020, followed by growth of 4.3% in 2021. The crisis widens the gap between countries, sectors and socio-economic classes.

Economic Comment

France: Economic recovery levelling off already?

The French economy shrank by a record breaking 13.8% in 2020 Q2. The third quarter promises a sharp rebound, but economic recovery seems to be levelling off already.

Economic Comment

Germany: Economic recovery?

The German economy shrank by a record breaking 10.1% in the second quarter, but still fared much better than European peers. We expect a technical recovery in the third quarter.

Economic Comment

Eurozone: Worst GDP contraction in history

The Eurozone economy shrank by a record breaking 12.1 percent in the second quarter. We expect a technical recovery in the third quarter given that economies have partially reopened.

Economic Report

Should India Print Money To Fight Covid-19?

Against the backdrop of a crippled economy and rising debt metrics, policymakers around the globe are adopting or considering unconventional monetary policy to solve the current state of emergency. For some countries, such as India, this would be a bad idea. We show that a major MMT fiscal package could push inflation up to 12% and the currency down by 25%.