RaboResearch - Economic Research

Erik-Jan van Harn

Macro strategist Global Economics & Markets

Erik-Jan does research on the international economy and financial markets. He holds a degree in mathematics and quantitative finance.

Publications Erik-Jan van Harn

Special

Eurozone outlook: Recovery depends on vaccine rollout

After a harsh start of the year, the Eurozone economic outlook should start to improve from next quarter. With help of the EU recovery fund, the economy will hit its pre-pandemic level mid-2022. Yet only if the vaccination campaign gains ample speed.

Economic Update

France: Lockdowns determine economic recovery

Different from other European nations, France has not reinstated a lockdown in the first quarter. Consequently, we do not expect the French economy to contract in the first quarter. For 2021 we expect the French economy to grow by 5.8 percent.

Economic Report

Overheid: investeer ons nu uit de crisis (Dutch)

Met gerichte overheidsinvesteringen in Research & Development, onderwijs en infrastructuur is het mogelijk de huidige schade aan de economie teniet te doen en sterker uit de crisis te komen.

Economic Comment

Eurozone economy contracts in fourth quarter of 2020

The Eurozone economy contracted with 0.7% in the final quarter of last year and with 6.8% in 2020 as a whole. Going forward, the apparent resilience of the economy bodes some comfort, but will not prevent another contraction in the current quarter.

Economic Comment

Germany: Better than expected Q4 figures, but downside risks remain

The German economy expanded by 0.1% in the fourth quarter. Going forward, there are still some major risks however. Transport prices for goods from China have quadrupled recently and pose a threat to the strong trade performance in Germany.