RaboResearch - Economic Research

Erik-Jan van Harn

Economist

Erik-Jan works as an economist at RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets.

He analyses economic developments in the Eurozone with a focus on Germany, France and the United Kingdom.

Erik-Jan studied Applied Mathematics at the University of Utrecht and Quantitative Finance & Actuarial Sciences at Tilburg University.

Publications Erik-Jan van Harn

Economic Report

Overheid: investeer ons nu uit de crisis (Dutch)

Met gerichte overheidsinvesteringen in Research & Development, onderwijs en infrastructuur is het mogelijk de huidige schade aan de economie teniet te doen en sterker uit de crisis te komen.

Economic Comment Dutch version

COVID-19 Economic Dashboard

Hard economic data usually comes available at quite some lag. To gauge the economic impact of COVID-19 we look at more timely economic indicators that are readily available. Data on traffic jams, international flights, and restaurant bookings are released sooner and more frequently. This helps us to better monitor the economic situation during the COVID-19 crisis.

Economic Comment

Eurozone economy contracts in fourth quarter of 2020

The Eurozone economy contracted with 0.7% in the final quarter of last year and with 6.8% in 2020 as a whole. Going forward, the apparent resilience of the economy bodes some comfort, but will not prevent another contraction in the current quarter.

Economic Comment

Germany: Better than expected Q4 figures, but downside risks remain

The German economy expanded by 0.1% in the fourth quarter. Going forward, there are still some major risks however. Transport prices for goods from China have quadrupled recently and pose a threat to the strong trade performance in Germany.

Special

Geopolitieke kansen en bedreigingen voor Nederland (Dutch)

De toenemende rol van geopolitiek in de economie brengt zowel bedreigingen als kansen met zich mee. Nederland heeft een goed uitgangspunt door zijn sterke concurrentiepositie maar ook kwetsbaarheden zoals de afhankelijkheid van bepaalde buitenlandse goederen en diensten.

Economic Comment

Germany: Additional containment measures

Germany will implement additional containment measures to prevent a further rise of infections from 16 December to 20 January. Non-essential shops, schools and barbers will have to close. Closing of non-essential shops could cost as much as EUR 3.5bn TVA in December and January.

Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version

Eurozone: Second wave delays economic recovery

We forecast the Eurozone economy to contract by 7.4% in 2020 and to grow with 3.9% in 2021. The economy will need more time to fully recover. Considerable uncertainty remains about the underlying damage done to companies in the COVID-19 crisis.