RaboResearch - Economic Research

Elwin de Groot

Chief International Economist and eurozone-strategist

Elwin is Chief International Economist and eurozone-strategist at RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets.

Expertise: International and European economies, ECB and money markets, foreign exchange and interest rates

Experience: Senior Economist at Fortis Bank, researcher and project leader on regional economic issues at TNO-Inro (Dutch Organization for Applied Scientific Research). Master in Economics Erasmus University Rotterdam.

Profile: Elwin’s focus areas are the Eurozone and money markets. His drive comes from a fascination for what makes financial markets tick. And what is better than having a job in which you practice your hobby?

Elwin has almost twenty years of experience in economic research and regularly speaks with the (inter)national press, on television and for (large) clients of Rabobank. He has even experienced rising interest rates! Elwin is one of the Netherlands’ most well-known ‘ECB Watchers’ and brings to stage a large amount of experience, both in terms of economics and in terms of communication skills. Making complex matter understandable for a broad audience is one of his strengths. A lecture is only successful if clients feel that their perspective on the world has changed and that their voice has been heard.

 

Publications Elwin de Groot

Economic Comment

Eurozone: A gradual slowdown, mounting challenges

GDP of the Eurozone grew with 0.2% in the 4th quarter. France and Spain performed better than expected, but Italy entered a recession with two quarters of negative growth rates.

Economic Report

Eurozone: Revisiting growth

The disappointing recovery of the German car sector, the yellow vests in France and slowing external demand lead to a downward revision of our growth figures for 2018Q4 and 2019Q1.

Special

Can private debtors in the Eurozone weather interest rate shocks?

In many Eurozone countries, private sector debt has decreased in recent years and so has the vulnerability of the private sector to higher interest rates. Yet in many countries debt remains high and in several countries vulnerabilities are still present.

Special

The Trump trade war intensifies: which segments are most vulnerable?

In anticipation of the new tensions in the trade war saga, we assess which economic segments are most vulnerable in China, Europe and the US. We subsequently look at bilateral trade ties, food & agri flows and fiscal deficits related to higher defence spending.