RaboResearch - Economic Research

Björn Giesbergen

Senior Economist

Björn Giesbergen worked as a senior economist at RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets.

He focused on developments in China, Japan and a number of other countries in the Asia-Pacific region. Björn regularly lectured on economic themes to Rabobank clients.

He previously was economist for RaboResearch The Netherlands and trainee at the Dutch Ministry of Finance. Björn studied International Economics and Finance at Tilburg University and Economics at the University of Amsterdam.

Publications Björn Giesbergen


Trade deal China-US: Phase One, Phase None

The Phase 1 trade deal signed by the US and China in January 2020 has created a temporary but unstable equilibrium. The deal could still collapse and a re-acceleration of trade tensions in 2020 remains our base scenario.


We can’t rely on China to drive global economic growth again

China’s lower economic growth together with smaller and more targeted stimulus compared to previous episodes dampen the global outlook. Together with a potential shift in global policy responses, this likely means a new shift lower in bond yields again soon.

Economic Comment Dutch version

China: Domestic cooling down while external heat rises further

Most recent monthly figures confirm our view of a continuous slowdown of economic growth. More stimulus is on the cards, but this will be less massive and more targeted than during previous episodes. The trade war developments can be characterized by ‘one step forward, two steps back’.