RaboResearch - Economic Research

Björn Giesbergen

Economist

Björn Giesbergen works as an economist and country analyst at RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets.

He focuses on the economic and political developments in China and a number of other East Asian countries. Björn regularly lectures on economic themes to Rabobank clients.

He previously worked as a trainee at the Ministry of Finance. Björn studied International Economics and Finance at Tilburg University and Economics at the University of Amsterdam.

Publications Björn Giesbergen

Economic Comment

Japan: Economic recovery on the cards?

We expect the Japanese economy to recover moderately in the fourth quarter of 2018, and this will continue in the first quarter of 2019, but we do not foresee any surprises from the central bank in terms of policy changes. Inflation has not picked up yet, and risks remain tilted to the downside.

Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version

Global economic outlook: The economy has peaked

Global growth will decline moderately in the coming years, both in advanced and emerging market economies. Persistent risks such as escalation of the trade war or a disorderly Brexit are a permanent concern in this slowdown.

Economic Comment

The G20 High Stakes Dinner between the US and China

At their G20 dinner date, the United States and China have agreed to stop imposing new tariffs for a period of 90 days. We regard this as can-kicking at best, and it arguably puts the US in an even stronger position going forward.

Special

Re-assessing the US-China trade war

This Special re-assesses the economic impact of the US-China trade war, using more advanced methodologies. Our analysis shows that China disproportionately bears the brunt of a US-China trade war, especially in case of a further escalation.