RaboResearch - Economic Research

Björn Giesbergen

Economist

Björn Giesbergen works as an economist and country analyst at RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets.

He focuses on the economic and political developments in China and a number of other East Asian countries. Björn regularly lectures on economic themes to Rabobank clients.

He previously worked as a trainee at the Ministry of Finance. Björn studied International Economics and Finance at Tilburg University and Economics at the University of Amsterdam.

Publications Björn Giesbergen

Economic Report

China: handelsspanningen versus binnenlandse stabiliteit (Dutch)

Het nationale volkscongres laat zien dat China de binnenlandse focus meer verschuift naar de kwaliteit van economische groei. Ondertussen nemen de spanningen met de VS steeds verder toe. Dit zorgt voor grote onzekerheden en risico’s bij het huidige economische beeld.

Special

The Trump trade war intensifies: which segments are most vulnerable?

In anticipation of the new tensions in the trade war saga, we assess which economic segments are most vulnerable in China, Europe and the US. We subsequently look at bilateral trade ties, food & agri flows and fiscal deficits related to higher defence spending.

Special

Is a US trade war imminent?

Trump’s protectionist steel decision increases the risk of a trade war. But a full scale trade war would hurt the US economy even more than China and the EU.

Economic Comment

Japan: Abe’s election ‘gamble’ turned into victory

Abe and his LDP-Komeito coalition were victorious at yesterday’s lower house elections. The disappointing election result for the opposition side is not surprising when one takes into account the short amount of time for a structured election campaign.

Economic Report

Japanese snap elections: logic or gamble?

Japanese Premier Abe called for snap lower house elections to be held on October 22. We expect Abe’s coalition to win the election by majority, but major changes on the opposition side can turn the snap election from initial logic to a gamble.