RaboResearch - Economic Research

Alexandra Dumitru

Economist

Alexandra Dumitru works as macro-economist for RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets.

Her main responsibility are economic and political developments in the UK and Ireland, including Brexit. Alexandra is also involved in research and projects regarding climate change and energy, such as the UNEP FI TCFD workgroup.

Alexandra has been working as an economist for Rabobank since February 2013. In the first five years she focused on country risk research and policy in various regions, including four years of bearing responsibility for Latin America. In the past, Alexandra held various positions at UTZ Certified, a certification programme for sustainable agriculture, and at the Private Sector Investment Programme (PSI), a development cooperation subsidy programme of the Dutch government aimed at alleviating poverty through economic development. Alexandra holds a degree in Economics from VU University Amsterdam.

Publications Alexandra Dumitru

Economic Comment

Brexit Update: To vote or not to vote?

Prime Minister May decided to cancel the ‘meaningful vote’ of the British Parliament on the deal with the EU scheduled for 11 December. Instead she will attempt to get more concessions from the EU during the summit on 13-14 December. Getting the deal through the British Parliament remains a challenge.

Economic Report

Brexit Update: Deal done?

The EU council approved the EU-UK Brexit deal on 25 November. The document sets out the divorce conditions. It also includes an outline of the envisaged future economic partnership in the appendix. The approval of the UK parliament is still pending.

Economic Comment

Brexit Update: The finals

The United Kingdom and the EU have reached a deal in the Brexit negotiations. Unfortunately the road to an orderly Brexit remains a bumpy one and getting the deal approved by the UK Parliament is the main challenge.

Economic Report

Brexit Monitor: The negotiations continue

The choice of the British population to leave the EU will have significant consequences for the relationship between the EU and the UK. Our Brexit Monitor helps you keep track of the latest Brexit developments and prepare for things to come.

Economic Comment

Brexit update: entering overtime

The UK brought the Brexit talks with the EU to a stand-still on 14 October. EU’s original deadline for a signed deal has been missed. We now estimate the chances of a ‘hard Brexit’ as almost as high as those of a deal.

Column

Brexit dichter bij een rampscenario (Dutch)

Wij schatten de kansen van een harde Brexit nu als bijna even groot als de kans dat een deal bereikt wordt. Zonder noodmaatregelen kan een harde Brexit ook bedrijven die geen zaken doen met het VK raken.

Economic Comment

Brexit update: no news is good news … and some hopeful signs

Prime Minister May of the United Kingdom survived the annual conference of the Conservative Party and that strengthens her position. The next milestone is the October EU summit and negotiations are intensifying ahead of it.

Economic Comment

De-dramatising Salzburg

The Brexit summit of EU leaders in Salzburg on 19-20 September ended up in a drama. That is not justified but it suggests the EU and the UK lack a good understanding of each other and that raises the odds of a ‘Hard Brexit’ by accident.

Column

There is no such thing as a costless Brexit

Leaving the EU has direct and structural economic costs for the UK, irrespective of how the country leaves the EU. The magnitude of the impact depends on the future trade relationship they will negotiate with the EU, and a transition period could soften the blow. From that perspective it is not reassuring that with six months left before ‘Brexit day’ the UK is still divided over the Brexit objectives.

Column

Brexit aan de hand van een kop thee (Dutch)

Deal or no deal, sommige dingen veranderen sowieso in het handelen met het VK na Brexit. Zo vervallen alle internationale overeenkomsten van de EU voor het VK, tenzij tegenpartijen verlenging verschaffen. En dat kan de Britse uitvoer flink duurder maken.