RaboResearch - Economic Research
The Eurozone economy comes crashing down due to COVID-19
Dossier - Economic impact of the coronavirus
Will COVID-19 force a Brexit extension?
Looking beyond the COVID-19 crisis
The shape of India’s exit from the COVID-19 crisis
Dossier - Geopolitical risks
Dossier - The impact of Trump
Dossier - Brexit updates and economic impact
Most recent
Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version
Global Economic Outlook: COVID-19 has taken a hold of the global economy
COVID-19 has the global economy in its grip. Apart from a sharp slowdown in China, we also expect a recession in Germany and Italy. If large parts of the world experience outbreaks on the scale of Italy or China, then practically all advanced economies would fall into recession.
Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version
Coronavirus likely to push Eurozone economy into recession
We expect the coronavirus to pull the Eurozone economy into a recession. For the year 2020 growth is projected to fall to around 0.2%. Yet a worse-case scenario is now definitely thinkable as well. The Italian and German economy will shrink this year.
Economic Update Dutch version
Coronavirus will push the Italian economy into a recession
We expect that the coronavirus will push Italy’s economy into a recession this quarter. In the course of the second half of this year there will be room for a small recovery. All in all we forecast the economy to shrink by more than 0.5% this year.
Special
Economic outlook Italy: Coronavirus raises recession risk
The coronavirus raises the risk that Italy’s economy will enter a recession. Economic growth was already being hampered by the weak global environment and domestic policy uncertainty. The virus is expected to shave off some additional tenths of growth.
Dutch Housing Market Quarterly Dutch version
Housing shortage will keep house prices rising in 2020 and 2021
House prices in the Netherlands rose by almost 7 percent in 2019, and we expect that owner-occupied homes will become even more expensive this year due to the rising housing shortage and low mortgage rates.
Special
Brexit: Outlook 2020
Brexit has finally become a done deal, but the next phase of the negotiations is much broader in scope. The little time available limits the potential of any EU-UK agreement. Indeed, Brexit has been gradually defined in much harder ways.