Economic Quarterly Report
Both the speed at which the Dutch economy is deteriorating and the depth of the recession are unprecedented. The Dutch economy is going through a deep downturn this year and is expected to contract by 6% in real terms in 2009.
Dutch Housing Market Quarterly
In view of the current deterioration in the housing market, the Rabobank envisages a nominal house price drop of 5% for 2009, and a nominal drop of 1% for 2010. Downward risks for sentiment among house buyers and for market dynamics continue to prevail.
The Chinese government publish consistently higher growth figures during economic downturns in the hope of maintaining social stability. Hence, we expect a growth figure close to 6.5% yoy for 2009, while the true figure will be closer to 3.5%.
For India, the debate to fully open the capital account is a long-standing one. This Special Report elaborates on why India needs foreign capital and demonstrates that the country has already been gradually opening the capital account. This has led to India being in fact more open than meets the eye, but still has a long way to go.
The effect of the current economic slowdown on remittances is still unknown. Common sense would suggest that all countries with a high reliance on remittances from workers abroad would now be in serious trouble. However, several scientific studies have shown that remittance flows were relatively unaffected.
This report provides an overview of the key figures of the co-operative banks and their structures. Many data can also be found in annual reports but a comprehensive overview has so far been lacking.
When assessing risk in emerging markets, rating agencies used to apply the theory of the sovereign ceiling. This report highlights the reason behind the rating agencies dropping this theory. Furthermore, it shows why investing in local companies at times is less risky than investing in the sovereign.
In the last few years Sub-Sahara Africa has experienced the strongest economic growth in more than thirty years. This report explains how the so-called HIPC debt relief initiative has contributed to this reversal of economic fortunes. While the debt relief itself was useful, it is the conditions that were attached that made the real difference.