RaboResearch - Economic Research

Most recent

Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version

Outlook 2010

A thriving economy, such as we experienced in the years 2004-2007, is currently well beyond our reach. Officially, the recession is over, but the recovery is slow and uncertain. For the year ahead, our economists predict a meagre GDP growth of 1%.

Special

Towards a Balanced Deposit Guarantee System in Europe

The prevailing 'temporary emergency' deposit guarantee system (DGS) in Europe should be revised and adjusted when the largest turbulences in the banking sector are over. This DGS is not beneficial for financial stability and competition in banking.

Economic Quarterly Report

The Netherlands: the recession rages on

Both the speed at which the Dutch economy is deteriorating and the depth of the recession are unprecedented. The Dutch economy is going through a deep downturn this year and is expected to contract by 6% in real terms in 2009.

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly

Dutch Housing Market Quarterly

In view of the current deterioration in the housing market, the Rabobank envisages a nominal house price drop of 5% for 2009, and a nominal drop of 1% for 2010. Downward risks for sentiment among house buyers and for market dynamics continue to prevail.

Economic Report

China: 6.5% is 3.5%, really!

The Chinese government publish consistently higher growth figures during economic downturns in the hope of maintaining social stability. Hence, we expect a growth figure close to 6.5% yoy for 2009, while the true figure will be closer to 3.5%.

Economic Report

India's capital account: open sesame

For India, the debate to fully open the capital account is a long-standing one. This Special Report elaborates on why India needs foreign capital and demonstrates that the country has already been gradually opening the capital account. This has led to India being in fact more open than meets the eye, but still has a long way to go.

Special Dutch version

Make the euro stronger

The euro is under pressure. Following a strong surge, the European currency has lost terrain against the dollar again. It is therefore time to strengthen the European currency institutionally.