RaboResearch - Economic Research

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Country Report

Cameroon (Country report)

In the past, Cameroon benefited from being a small oil-exporting economy (10% of GDP, but 40% of exports and fiscal revenues in 2008). Oil exploitation created fluctuating trade and budget surpluses and attracted inward foreign investments.

Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version

The Netherlands : stumbling along

During the past year the economy was in a deep slump. And although the end of the recession was officially heralded in the third quarter of 2009, the recovery is not yet very convincing. For 2010 the expected real growth of the Dutch economy of 1¾% on average will be below the trend of before the crisis.

Economic Comment

Are markets mispricing sovereign default risk again?

Some politicians and market participants are proposing to ban the trading of naked CDSs amid the surge in government bond yields. In our view, therefore, politicians must come up with austerity measures instead of searching for scapegoats.

Economic Report Dutch version

Impact of new capital proposals from Basel

In this Special Report we focus on these new proposals (‘Basel III’) and on the history that preceded them (Basel I & Basel II). What do these new requirements mean for the financial sector, and what do they mean for the Rabobank? Will the new capital requirements be able to prevent another crisis?

Economic Comment

Germany: Will growth also disappoint in H1 2010?

We expect Germany’s economy to be supported by the inventory correction as well as external demand in H1 2010. There are, however, significant downside risks to this forecast.

Economic Comment

Will Greece face trouble rolling over its debt?

Rumours are mounting that a Greek syndicated bond issue is to be launched within days. This is an important event as the success or failure of such issuance will determine whether the Greeks have to go cap in hand to the European Commission or not.

Economic Report

The return of IFI lending

The global financial crisis has brought the IMF, the World Bank and other International Financial Institutions (IFI’s) back to the spotlights. With large emergency loan packages, they have helped countries to deal with the severe economic shocks.