RaboResearch - Economic Research
Economic growth in the Netherlands will depend more heavily on government spending
Brexit Update: Out of control
French Reforms: A bumpy road lies ahead
House prices expected to keep rising this year
Dossier - Geopolitical risks
Dossier - The impact of Trump
Dossier - Brexit updates and economic impact
Dossier - The Greek debt crisis: developments from start till end
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Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version
Economic growth in the Netherlands will depend more heavily on government spending
Dutch economic growth will slow to 1.6 percent in 2019 and 2020. Net exports will decline due to lower global trade. Household consumption and private investment will also contribute less to growth.
Economic Comment
Brexit Update: Out of control
An extension of article 50 is highly likely now that the British Parliament approved this outcome on 14 March, However, given complications around holding a third meaningful vote on the deal, the final decision on the extension could come as late as 29 March.
Economic Report
Recession United States on the radar
Our early warning system based on the yield curve continues to point at a recession in the United States in the second half of 2020. However, our ‘recession radar’ suggests that the US economy is not in recession yet and is not likely to be in the near term.
Economic Quarterly Report Dutch version
Global economic outlook: Is the glass half full or half empty?
We expect global economic growth to weaken further in the coming years. Based on indications on financial markets and weakness in the American housing market, we have penciled in a recession in the US in the course of 2020.
Special
French Reforms: A bumpy road lies ahead
Macron’s ambitious reform plans were blocked by the yellow vests protests last year. In an attempt to reaffirm his authority he has launched the “Grand National Debate”. Afterwards Macron will announce his new plans.
Economic Comment
China: weak start of the Year of the Pig
The first months of 2019 show a mixed, but weak picture as far as economic activity is concerned. The National People’s Congress of 2019 focused on emphasizing stability, but this was combined with contradictory goals.
Economic Comment
Brexit Monitor: Heading towards an extension
Our Brexit Monitor keeps you up to date with the latest Brexit developments. What effects will Brexit have, and what can you expect? An overview of the main news and analysis from experts.